Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

368.53 – 180.9

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

531 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 108.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 698.9 ±9.8

2220Blue Twilight

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 123.24Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 190.53Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 54.76Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 542.4 ±10.4

4191IMC

Season APEX 105.4Event APEX -43.31Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 129.16Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11493Pixel Knights

Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 95.05Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2220, 9785, 1625

/ 100 compat

Projected

368.5 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2220, 9785, 1625

Auto

69.7 19%

Teleop

180.8 50%

Endgame

114.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4191, 1787, 11493

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.9 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 4191, 1787, 11493

Auto

56.3 31%

Teleop

99.3 55%

Endgame

26.0 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.67 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score368.5pts

Blue projected score180.9pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 187.6
Score range: 107–443
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 767 vs event baseline 411.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

698.9Season APEX542.4

69.7Auto56.3

180.8Teleop99.3

114.5Endgame26

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	23
teleop	345	109
endgame	157	99
foul	0	5
total	531	236

Result

Final score

531 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 108.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.