Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

309.05 – 393.44

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

535 – 908

Prediction correct · off by 370.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 730.8 ±11.7

3297Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 211.6Event APEX 122.18Rank 53Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 102.58Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4613Barker Redbacks

A+

Season APEX 294.4Event APEX 84.29Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 981.2 ±9.3

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 153.71Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11270Nova

Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 124.63Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 115.1Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3297, 8267, 4613

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.1 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 3297, 8267, 4613

Auto

64.7 20%

Teleop

188.9 59%

Endgame

64.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6329, 11270, 1706

/ 100 compat

Projected

393.4 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 6329, 11270, 1706

Auto

86.1 22%

Teleop

222.9 56%

Endgame

90.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.51 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score309.1pts

Blue projected score393.4pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 37%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -84.4
Score range: 239–463
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1443 vs event baseline 389.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

730.8Season APEX981.2

64.7Auto86.1

188.9Teleop222.9

64.2Endgame90

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	162
teleop	264	568
endgame	212	173
foul	0	5
total	535	908

Result

Final score

535 – 908

Prediction correct · off by 370.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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