Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

397.24 – 164.91

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

421 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 62.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 832.7 ±9.3

5086Cadillac Connectors

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 124Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 195.71Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2486CocoNuts

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 77.53Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 507.8 ±11.7

9449Yellowjackets

Season APEX 164.3Event APEX 48.11Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5348Charger Robotics

Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 74.86Rank 60Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6200PrepaTec - XRAMS

Season APEX 170.1Event APEX 41.94Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5086, 581, 2486

/ 100 compat

Projected

397.2 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 5086, 581, 2486

Auto

56.9 15%

Teleop

185.0 48%

Endgame

147.5 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9449, 5348, 6200

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.9 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 9449, 5348, 6200

Auto

28.4 17%

Teleop

96.6 58%

Endgame

42.8 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.92 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score397.2pts

Blue projected score164.9pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 232.3
Score range: 93–469
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 484 vs event baseline 397.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

832.7Season APEX507.8

56.9Auto28.4

185Teleop96.6

147.5Endgame42.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	130	26
teleop	210	22
endgame	81	15
foul	0	0
total	421	63

Result

Final score

421 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 62.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.