Qualification · Qualification 124

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

540.94 – 298.4

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

336 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 140.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 725.1 ±9.3

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 260.95Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5348Charger Robotics

Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 39.52Rank 60Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8749Farmersville Robotics

Season APEX 271.3Event APEX 240.47Rank 11Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 667.1 ±9.8

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 62.87Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 162.26Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 73.27Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1732, 5348, 8749

/ 100 compat

Projected

540.9 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1732, 5348, 8749

Auto

110.5 20%

Teleop

310.0 57%

Endgame

121.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3539, 1986, 2834

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.4 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 3539, 1986, 2834

Auto

84.7 29%

Teleop

146.5 50%

Endgame

64.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.79 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score540.9pts

Blue projected score298.4pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 242.5
Score range: 218–621
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 558 vs event baseline 443.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

725.1Season APEX667.1

110.5Auto84.7

310Teleop146.5

121.1Endgame64.1

183Consistency137

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	77
teleop	128	103
endgame	92	27
foul	35	15
total	336	222

Result

Final score

336 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 140.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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