Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
198.34 – 198.34
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
477 – 295
Prediction correct · off by 187.7 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 704.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 304.2Event APEX -Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.6Event APEX -Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 166.9Event APEX -Rank 58Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 693.8 ±10.7
Season APEX 294.4Event APEX -Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX -Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 149.9Event APEX -Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8513, 2102, 2220
50
/ 100 compatProjected
198.3 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 8513, 2102, 2220
Auto
59.5 30%
Teleop
99.2 50%
Endgame
39.7 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4613, 3035, 1287
50
/ 100 compatProjected
198.3 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 4613, 3035, 1287
Auto
59.5 30%
Teleop
99.2 50%
Endgame
39.7 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score198.3pts
Blue projected score198.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 28%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 127–269
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
704.7Season APEX693.8
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 90 | 56 |
| teleop | 264 | 186 |
| endgame | 123 | 53 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 477 | 295 |
Result
Final score
477 – 295
Prediction correct · off by 187.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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