Qualification · Qualification 119
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
415.64 – 88.96
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
548 – 327
Prediction correct · off by 185.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 727.9 ±8.7
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 137.82Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 261.8Event APEX 179.89Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 216.6Event APEX 97.93Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 515.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 29.5Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 170.1Event APEX -21.81Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 81.27Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3035, 11270, 6121
65
/ 100 compatProjected
415.6 pts
~2.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 3035, 11270, 6121
Auto
90.2 22%
Teleop
225.3 55%
Endgame
96.4 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 32%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7451, 6200, 1625
32
/ 100 compatProjected
89 pts
~0.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 7451, 6200, 1625
Auto
30.1 34%
Teleop
52.0 59%
Endgame
6.4 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 32%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.9 · Blue 0.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score415.6pts
Blue projected score89pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 326.7
- Score range
- 9–496
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
727.9Season APEX515.1
90.2Auto30.1
225.3Teleop52
96.4Endgame6.4
98Consistency161
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 128 | 81 |
| teleop | 301 | 157 |
| endgame | 114 | 89 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 548 | 327 |
Result
Final score
548 – 327
Prediction correct · off by 185.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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