Qualification · Qualification 115

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

519.82 – 511.47

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

720 – 678

Prediction correct · off by 183.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 900.5 ±9.3

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 138.35Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2659RoboWarriors

A+

Season APEX 298.8Event APEX 134.59Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 246.88Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 852.7 ±9.8

2383Ninjineers

Season APEX 237.2Event APEX 103.06Rank 47Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 148.2Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 260.21Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1787, 2659, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

519.8 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 1787, 2659, 6329

Auto

122.0 24%

Teleop

311.9 61%

Endgame

77.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2383, 4143, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

511.5 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 2383, 4143, 8044

Auto

109.0 21%

Teleop

267.0 52%

Endgame

133.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score519.8pts

Blue projected score511.5pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 46%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.4
Score range: 432–599
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1398 vs event baseline 441.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

900.5Season APEX852.7

122Auto109

311.9Teleop267

77Endgame133

82Consistency153

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	119	163
teleop	359	372
endgame	237	143
foul	5	0
total	720	678

Result

Final score

720 – 678

Prediction correct · off by 183.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.