Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
193.88 – 193.88
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
434 – 538
Prediction missed · off by 292.1 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 730 ±9.8
Season APEX 235.2Event APEX -Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.5Event APEX -Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 253.3Event APEX -Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 881.6 ±9.3
Season APEX 227.1Event APEX -Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.7Event APEX -Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 391.8Event APEX -Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6517, 5086, 4174
50
/ 100 compatProjected
193.9 pts
~2.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 6517, 5086, 4174
Auto
58.2 30%
Teleop
96.9 50%
Endgame
38.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 79%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11493, 1296, 6329
50
/ 100 compatProjected
193.9 pts
~2.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 11493, 1296, 6329
Auto
58.2 30%
Teleop
96.9 50%
Endgame
38.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 79%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.08 · Blue 2.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score193.9pts
Blue projected score193.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 79%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 40%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 124–264
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
730Season APEX881.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 87 | 136 |
| teleop | 206 | 280 |
| endgame | 141 | 117 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 434 | 538 |
Result
Final score
434 – 538
Prediction missed · off by 292.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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