Qualification · Qualification 108

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

504.42 – 301.07

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

718 – 349

Prediction correct · off by 130.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 858.7 ±8.7

8513Sisters 1st

A+

Season APEX 304.2Event APEX 187.6Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3175Knight Vision

Season APEX 224.1Event APEX 63.87Rank 67Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9785Alectrona

A+

Season APEX 330.4Event APEX 252.95Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 672.6 ±11.2

6152Robo-Falcons

Season APEX 277.7Event APEX 144.24Rank 70Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6200PrepaTec - XRAMS

Season APEX 170.1Event APEX -20.6Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8267Riptide Robotics 8267

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 177.43Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8513, 3175, 9785

/ 100 compat

Projected

504.4 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 8513, 3175, 9785

Auto

93.7 19%

Teleop

295.7 61%

Endgame

94.8 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6152, 6200, 8267

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.1 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 6152, 6200, 8267

Auto

63.3 22%

Teleop

178.4 61%

Endgame

52.5 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.86 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score504.4pts

Blue projected score301.1pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 203.4
Score range: 221–584
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1067 vs event baseline 442.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

858.7Season APEX672.6

93.7Auto63.3

295.7Teleop178.4

94.8Endgame52.5

128Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	127	33
teleop	438	212
endgame	153	104
foul	0	0
total	718	349

Result

Final score

718 – 349

Prediction correct · off by 130.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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