Qualification · Qualification 107

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

453.2 – 340.54

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

660 – 394

Prediction correct · off by 130.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 766.9 ±9.8

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 192.81Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 148.79Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 111.6Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 703.1 ±11.4

7287Esquimalt Atom Smashers

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 96.05Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4698Raider Robotics

Season APEX 283Event APEX 211.84Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2199Robo-Lions

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 32.65Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1701, 1986, 1787

/ 100 compat

Projected

453.2 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 1701, 1986, 1787

Auto

116.7 26%

Teleop

260.0 59%

Endgame

67.3 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7287, 4698, 2199

/ 100 compat

Projected

340.5 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 7287, 4698, 2199

Auto

85.1 26%

Teleop

173.5 53%

Endgame

69.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.67 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score453.2pts

Blue projected score340.5pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 40%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 112.7
Score range: 261–533
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1054 vs event baseline 441.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

766.9Season APEX703.1

116.7Auto85.1

260Teleop173.5

67.3Endgame69.2

120Consistency138

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	136	105
teleop	388	175
endgame	136	109
foul	0	5
total	660	394

Result

Final score

660 – 394

Prediction correct · off by 130.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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