Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
181.86 – 181.86
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
523 – 685
Prediction missed · off by 422.1 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 775 ±9.3
Season APEX 280.4Event APEX -Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 283Event APEX -Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 211.6Event APEX -Rank 53Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 887.8 ±8.7
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX -Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 330.4Event APEX -Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 347Event APEX -Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1732, 4698, 3297
50
/ 100 compatProjected
181.9 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 1732, 4698, 3297
Auto
54.6 30%
Teleop
90.9 50%
Endgame
36.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 37%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 573, 9785, 581
50
/ 100 compatProjected
181.9 pts
~2.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 573, 9785, 581
Auto
54.6 30%
Teleop
90.9 50%
Endgame
36.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 37%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.05 · Blue 2.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score181.9pts
Blue projected score181.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 37%, blue 41%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 117–247
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
775Season APEX887.8
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 144 | 98 |
| teleop | 287 | 364 |
| endgame | 92 | 223 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 523 | 685 |
Result
Final score
523 – 685
Prediction missed · off by 422.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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