Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

712.41 – 666.75

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

476 – 630

Prediction missed · off by 136.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 949.2 ±9.8

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 159.58Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 298.01Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 254.82Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1000.3 ±8.7

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 96.6Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 314.97Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 255.18Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4143, 1706, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

712.4 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 4143, 1706, 581

Auto

166.4 23%

Teleop

373.1 53%

Endgame

170.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3506, 2056, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

666.8 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3506, 2056, 6329

Auto

172.0 26%

Teleop

360.7 55%

Endgame

122.0 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score712.4pts

Blue projected score666.8pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.7
Score range: 584–795
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1106 vs event baseline 460.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

949.2Season APEX1000.3

166.4Auto172

373.1Teleop360.7

170.3Endgame122

115Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	160	119
teleop	277	306
endgame	34	175
foul	5	30
total	476	630

Result

Final score

476 – 630

Prediction missed · off by 136.6 pts

Match videos

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