Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

149.22 – 33.16

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

232 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 438.7 ±11.1

2465KauaiBots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 21.75Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2438'Iobotics

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 58.1Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 69.37Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 104 ±16.2

2441Spartechs

Season APEX 11.8Event APEX 12.74Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6704Mid Pacific Owls Robotics

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 22.97Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9012Team Waffles

Season APEX 2.3Event APEX -2.55Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2465, 2438, 8005

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.2 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2465, 2438, 8005

Auto

30.6 22%

Teleop

78.6 56%

Endgame

31.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2441, 6704, 9012

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2441, 6704, 9012

Auto

11.8 34%

Teleop

9.9 29%

Endgame

13.0 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.97 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score149.2pts

Blue projected score33.2pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 116.1
Score range: 11–171
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 121.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

438.7Season APEX104

30.6Auto11.8

78.6Teleop9.9

31.9Endgame13

3Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	19
teleop	146	4
endgame	44	16
foul	0	0
total	232	39

Result

Final score

232 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.