Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

339.69 – 148.18

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

255 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 49.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.7 ±11.5

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 188.79Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9715Tsinelas'

Season APEX 7Event APEX 15.99Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83

11019X.PLORE

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 134.91Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.7 ±11.1

2465KauaiBots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 21.07Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2438'Iobotics

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 58.26Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 68.85Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 359, 9715, 11019

/ 100 compat

Projected

339.7 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 359, 9715, 11019

Auto

53.9 16%

Teleop

191.7 58%

Endgame

85.2 26%

Strengths

· 359 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2465, 2438, 8005

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.2 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2465, 2438, 8005

Auto

30.2 22%

Teleop

77.1 56%

Endgame

31.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score339.7pts

Blue projected score148.2pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 191.5
Score range: 127–361
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 418 vs event baseline 117.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.7Season APEX438.7

53.9Auto30.2

191.7Teleop77.1

85.2Endgame31.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	34
teleop	112	89
endgame	75	40
foul	5	0
total	255	163

Result

Final score

255 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 49.8 pts

Match videos

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