Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.28 – 74.45

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 438.7 ±11.1

2465KauaiBots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 16.33Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2438'Iobotics

Season APEX 133.8Event APEX 52.25Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 63.7Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 137.6 ±17.3

8569Zenith Polaris

Season APEX 29.7Event APEX 1.54Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2445RoboKAP

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 31.69Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2853Hot Spot Robotics

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 41.22Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2465, 2438, 8005

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.3 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2465, 2438, 8005

Auto

29.3 23%

Teleop

63.6 49%

Endgame

35.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8569, 2445, 2853

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8569, 2445, 2853

Auto

12.3 19%

Teleop

38.7 60%

Endgame

14.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.7 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score132.3pts

Blue projected score74.5pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.8
Score range: 52–154
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 119.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

438.7Season APEX137.6

29.3Auto12.3

63.6Teleop38.7

35.7Endgame14

3Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	23
teleop	129	34
endgame	14	5
foul	30	0
total	210	62

Result

Final score

210 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.