Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.23 – 353.84

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 52.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.8 ±14.8

2465KauaiBots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 20.24Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9019Ko'olaupoko

Season APEX 21.5Event APEX 26.23Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3008Team Magma

Season APEX 105.3Event APEX 34.76Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 506.2 ±12.3

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 185.74Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11019X.PLORE

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 132.05Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2445RoboKAP

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 36.05Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2465, 9019, 3008

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.2 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2465, 9019, 3008

Auto

26.4 35%

Teleop

46.1 61%

Endgame

3.0 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 359, 11019, 2445

/ 100 compat

Projected

353.8 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 359, 11019, 2445

Auto

57.1 16%

Teleop

195.5 56%

Endgame

98.4 28%

Strengths

· 359 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.38 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score81.2pts

Blue projected score353.8pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -272.6
Score range: 60–375
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 117.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

216.8Season APEX506.2

26.4Auto57.1

46.1Teleop195.5

3Endgame98.4

0Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	37
teleop	11	211
endgame	5	56
foul	0	0
total	26	304

Result

Final score

26 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 52.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.