Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.36 – 170.99

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.5 ±16.4

2348Mechahunes

Season APEX 15.6Event APEX 12.06Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2477Marauder Rascals

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 2.16Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 79

3008Team Magma

Season APEX 105.3Event APEX 34.14Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.5 ±14.7

11177HCSH Leopard Cat

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 32.06Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

8871Saber Dynamics

Season APEX 28.3Event APEX 1.61Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 85

6497Pymble P-Platers

Season APEX 208.1Event APEX 137.32Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2348, 2477, 3008

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2348, 2477, 3008

Auto

5.6 11%

Teleop

26.8 52%

Endgame

19.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 11177, 8871, 6497

/ 100 compat

Projected

171 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 11177, 8871, 6497

Auto

15.3 9%

Teleop

99.7 61%

Endgame

49.7 30%

Strengths

· 6497 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.65 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score48.4pts

Blue projected score171pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -122.6
Score range: 27–192
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 114.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

154.5Season APEX276.5

5.6Auto15.3

26.8Teleop99.7

19.3Endgame49.7

27Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	33
teleop	17	126
endgame	5	80
foul	0	0
total	26	239

Result

Final score

26 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.