Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

72.2 – 55.77

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 16.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 114.9 ±17.9

6191RoboKryptonite

Season APEX 37.2Event APEX 22.01Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2896MechaMonarchs

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 16.72Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 82

3881WHEA Sharkbots

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 33.47Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 140.7 ±16.2

9012Team Waffles

Season APEX 2.3Event APEX 0.22Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11229Open Circuit

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 31.02Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6704Mid Pacific Owls Robotics

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 24.53Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6191, 2896, 3881

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6191, 2896, 3881

Auto

17.8 27%

Teleop

29.4 44%

Endgame

19.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9012, 11229, 6704

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9012, 11229, 6704

Auto

13.4 29%

Teleop

19.6 42%

Endgame

13.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score72.2pts

Blue projected score55.8pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16.4
Score range: 35–93
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 99 vs event baseline 115.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

114.9Season APEX140.7

17.8Auto13.4

29.4Teleop19.6

19.7Endgame13.3

53Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	16
teleop	11	20
endgame	5	22
foul	5	0
total	41	58

Result

Final score

41 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 16.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.