Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
315.39 – 46.26
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
429 – 38
Prediction correct · off by 60.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 513.5 ±13.2
Season APEX 208.1Event APEX 123.87Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 181.89Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37.2Event APEX 9.63Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 48.2 ±17.9
Season APEX 2.3Event APEX -0.02Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 18.12Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 82
Season APEX 20.3Event APEX 28.16Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6497, 359, 6191
82
/ 100 compatProjected
315.4 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 6497, 359, 6191
Auto
57.8 19%
Teleop
160.0 53%
Endgame
84.6 28%
Strengths
- · 359 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 9012, 2896, 7724
34
/ 100 compatProjected
46.3 pts
~0.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 9012, 2896, 7724
Auto
14.9 35%
Teleop
15.2 36%
Endgame
12.0 29%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score315.4pts
Blue projected score46.3pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 269.1
- Score range
- 25–336
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
513.5Season APEX48.2
57.8Auto14.9
160Teleop15.2
84.6Endgame12
20Consistency25
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 51 | 1 |
| teleop | 253 | 18 |
| endgame | 125 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 429 | 38 |
Result
Final score
429 – 38
Prediction correct · off by 60.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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