Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.93 – 231.45

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

162 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 359.3 ±13.2

2441Spartechs

Season APEX 11.8Event APEX 12.82Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 80

3880Tiki Techs

Season APEX 132.6Event APEX 8.9Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8005Mega MeadowBots

Season APEX 214.9Event APEX 71.21Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393.8 ±13.6

7724Molokai Robotics

Season APEX 20.3Event APEX 23.94Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3008Team Magma

Season APEX 105.3Event APEX 25.98Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 181.53Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2441, 3880, 8005

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2441, 3880, 8005

Auto

21.4 23%

Teleop

37.7 41%

Endgame

33.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7724, 3008, 359

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.5 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7724, 3008, 359

Auto

52.8 23%

Teleop

121.6 52%

Endgame

59.9 26%

Strengths

· 359 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score92.9pts

Blue projected score231.5pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -138.5
Score range: 70–254
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 430 vs event baseline 128.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

359.3Season APEX393.8

21.4Auto52.8

37.7Teleop121.6

33.8Endgame59.9

50Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	69
teleop	74	139
endgame	57	60
foul	0	0
total	162	268

Result

Final score

162 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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