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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Galileo Division

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

721.81 – 629.77

76%24%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

560 – 588

Prediction missed · off by 101.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 960.3 ±13.2
2231OnyxTronix
S
Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 221.4Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77
8159Golden Horn
A
Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 195.98Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1768Nashoba Robotics
A+
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 304.43Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 730.9 ±9.8
5913Patriotics
A
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 247.63Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
10980The Deadbolts
B
Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 179.98Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2813Gear Heads
A
Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 202.16Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2231, 8159, 1768
89
/ 100 compat
Projected
721.8 pts
~2.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 2231, 8159, 1768
Auto
144.4 20%
Teleop
383.6 54%
Endgame
184.8 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5913, 10980, 2813
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
629.8 pts
~1.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 5913, 10980, 2813
Auto
144.6 23%
Teleop
358.7 58%
Endgame
117.3 19%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.46 · Blue 1.21
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score721.8pts
Blue projected score629.8pts
Red win probability76%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
92
Score range
554–798
Upset likelihood
24%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 1148 vs event baseline 419.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

960.3Season APEX730.9
144.4Auto144.6
383.6Teleop358.7
184.8Endgame117.3
135Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto97112
teleop252252
endgame211149
foul075
total560588

Result

Final score

560 – 588

Prediction missed · off by 101.8 pts

Match videos

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