Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Galileo Division

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

767.3 – 704.36

69%31%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

638 – 538

Prediction correct · off by 147.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 960.3 ±13.2
2231OnyxTronix
S
Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 236.94Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77
8159Golden Horn
A
Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 209.24Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1768Nashoba Robotics
A+
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 321.12Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 813.5 ±8.1
9572CC Shambytes
A
Season APEX 232Event APEX 183.94Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric
A
Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 226.65Rank 13Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9496LYNK
A+
Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 293.77Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2231, 8159, 1768
88
/ 100 compat
Projected
767.3 pts
~2.3 RP (championship)
Teams: 2231, 8159, 1768
Auto
148.8 20%
Teleop
432.7 57%
Endgame
176.9 23%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9572, 7415, 9496
89
/ 100 compat
Projected
704.4 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 9572, 7415, 9496
Auto
159.8 24%
Teleop
352.5 52%
Endgame
161.4 24%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.32 · Blue 1.62
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score767.3pts
Blue projected score704.4pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 30%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
62.9
Score range
630–841
Upset likelihood
31%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 1176 vs event baseline 410.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

960.3Season APEX813.5
148.8Auto159.8
432.7Teleop352.5
176.9Endgame161.4
132Consistency105

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto113148
teleop306277
endgame209108
foul105
total638538

Result

Final score

638 – 538

Prediction correct · off by 147.8 pts

Match videos

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