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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Galileo Division

Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

621.01 – 590.93

59%41%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

506 – 393

Prediction correct · off by 156.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 748.8 ±9.3
4322Clockwork
B
Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 193.29Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1756Argos
B
Season APEX 223.5Event APEX 180.04Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2468Team Appreciate
A+
Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 247.68Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 845.7 ±8.7
1506Metal Muscle
A
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 207.95Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
484Roboforce
A
Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 199.96Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
449The Blair Robot Project
A+
Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 183.02Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4322, 1756, 2468
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
621 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 4322, 1756, 2468
Auto
125.7 20%
Teleop
331.5 53%
Endgame
162.6 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1506, 484, 449
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
590.9 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 1506, 484, 449
Auto
120.0 21%
Teleop
300.9 52%
Endgame
159.9 28%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score621pts
Blue projected score590.9pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 27%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
30.1
Score range
515–697
Upset likelihood
41%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Playoff

Combined score 899 vs event baseline 422.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

748.8Season APEX845.7
125.7Auto120
331.5Teleop300.9
162.6Endgame159.9
76Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto107103
teleop297193
endgame6272
foul4025
total506393

Result

Final score

506 – 393

Prediction correct · off by 156.5 pts

Match videos

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