Qualification · Qualification 95

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

453.35 – 583.81

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

290 – 503

Prediction correct · off by 122.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 604.5 ±8.7

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 208.86Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 96.79Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 147.7Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 748.2 ±10

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 292.78Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6487Clockwork Knights

Season APEX 187.2Event APEX 79.01Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3937Breakaway

Season APEX 263.8Event APEX 212.02Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1023, 6201, 2582

/ 100 compat

Projected

453.4 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 1023, 6201, 2582

Auto

96.6 22%

Teleop

245.3 56%

Endgame

94.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9496, 6487, 3937

/ 100 compat

Projected

583.8 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 9496, 6487, 3937

Auto

122.3 21%

Teleop

293.7 51%

Endgame

156.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score453.4pts

Blue projected score583.8pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -130.5
Score range: 379–658
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 793 vs event baseline 413.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

604.5Season APEX748.2

96.6Auto122.3

245.3Teleop293.7

94.5Endgame156.7

131Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	125
teleop	142	253
endgame	75	120
foul	5	5
total	290	503

Result

Final score

290 – 503

Prediction correct · off by 122.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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