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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 94

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

499.77197.98

98%2%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

35848

Prediction correct · off by 145.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 720 ±9.3
Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 131.09Rank 41Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 190.54Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249Event APEX 178.14Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.4 ±10.7
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 6.44Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 191.52Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 167Event APEX 0.02Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2590, 8119, 4020
72
/ 100 compat
Projected
499.8 pts
~2.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 2590, 8119, 4020
Auto
80.2 16%
Teleop
234.4 48%
Endgame
178.1 36%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11214, 449, 11244
43
/ 100 compat
Projected
198 pts
~0.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 11214, 449, 11244
Auto
25.1 13%
Teleop
103.5 52%
Endgame
69.8 35%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score499.8pts
Blue projected score198pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
301.8
Score range
123575
Upset likelihood
2%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 406 vs event baseline 415.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

720Season APEX537.4
80.2Auto25.1
234.4Teleop103.5
178.1Endgame69.8
84Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7915
teleop17710
endgame10218
foul05
total35848

Result

Final score

35848

Prediction correct · off by 145.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable

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