Qualification · Qualification 94
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
499.77 – 197.98
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
358 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 145.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 720 ±9.3
Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 131.09Rank 41Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 190.54Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249Event APEX 178.14Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 537.4 ±10.7
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 6.44Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 191.52Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 167Event APEX 0.02Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2590, 8119, 4020
72
/ 100 compatProjected
499.8 pts
~2.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 2590, 8119, 4020
Auto
80.2 16%
Teleop
234.4 48%
Endgame
178.1 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11214, 449, 11244
43
/ 100 compatProjected
198 pts
~0.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 11214, 449, 11244
Auto
25.1 13%
Teleop
103.5 52%
Endgame
69.8 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score499.8pts
Blue projected score198pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 301.8
- Score range
- 123–575
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
720Season APEX537.4
80.2Auto25.1
234.4Teleop103.5
178.1Endgame69.8
84Consistency108
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 15 |
| teleop | 177 | 10 |
| endgame | 102 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 358 | 48 |
Result
Final score
358 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 145.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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