Qualification · Qualification 93

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

309.16 – 527.87

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

294 – 724

Prediction correct · off by 105.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 751.1 ±11.7

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 78.29Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

64294th Dimension

Season APEX 254.7Event APEX 68.66Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7183W.A.R.

Season APEX 278.7Event APEX 162.21Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 746.4 ±10.4

2491NoMythic

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 222.86Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 114.78Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 190.23Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4087, 6429, 7183

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.2 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 4087, 6429, 7183

Auto

63.9 22%

Teleop

174.3 60%

Endgame

53.7 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2491, 4655, 5913

/ 100 compat

Projected

527.9 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2491, 4655, 5913

Auto

114.6 22%

Teleop

289.0 54%

Endgame

127.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.83 · Blue 2.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score309.2pts

Blue projected score527.9pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -218.7
Score range: 234–603
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1018 vs event baseline 414.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

751.1Season APEX746.4

63.9Auto114.6

174.3Teleop289

53.7Endgame127.9

140Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	121
teleop	148	454
endgame	61	139
foul	0	10
total	294	724

Result

Final score

294 – 724

Prediction correct · off by 105.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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