Qualification · Qualification 92

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

391.89 – 259.23

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

570 – 447

Prediction correct · off by 182.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 699.6 ±9.3

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 223.52Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 104.71Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 63.66Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 625.1 ±9.8

3931Cockadoodle Dominators

Season APEX 225.5Event APEX 116.13Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 123.51Rank 32Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11242Golden Eagle Mechanics

Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 19.59Rank 45Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4469, 4766, 6911

/ 100 compat

Projected

391.9 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 4469, 4766, 6911

Auto

48.0 12%

Teleop

228.9 60%

Endgame

107.5 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3931, 3243, 11242

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.2 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 3931, 3243, 11242

Auto

54.1 22%

Teleop

142.0 57%

Endgame

54.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.53 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score391.9pts

Blue projected score259.2pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 132.7
Score range: 185–466
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1017 vs event baseline 413.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

699.6Season APEX625.1

48Auto54.1

228.9Teleop142

107.5Endgame54

108Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	92
teleop	318	231
endgame	200	124
foul	5	0
total	570	447

Result

Final score

570 – 447

Prediction correct · off by 182.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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