Qualification · Qualification 89

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

470.44 – 530.13

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

477 – 510

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 725.6 ±8.7

4450Olympia Robotics Federation

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 120.39Rank 51Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 157.63Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 192.42Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 749.2 ±9.8

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 256.56Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 68.27Rank 20Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 205.3Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4450, 1391, 9572

/ 100 compat

Projected

470.4 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 4450, 1391, 9572

Auto

112.1 24%

Teleop

221.6 48%

Endgame

127.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2468, 11417, 8159

/ 100 compat

Projected

530.1 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 2468, 11417, 8159

Auto

110.8 21%

Teleop

255.1 49%

Endgame

152.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.52 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score470.4pts

Blue projected score530.1pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.7
Score range: 396–604
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 987 vs event baseline 413.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

725.6Season APEX749.2

112.1Auto110.8

221.6Teleop255.1

127.6Endgame152.7

138Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	123
teleop	265	273
endgame	148	99
foul	15	15
total	477	510

Result

Final score

477 – 510

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.