Qualification · Qualification 88

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

379.7 – 419.7

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

369 – 457

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 676.9 ±9.8

16Bomb Squad

Season APEX 198.9Event APEX 112.5Rank 68Record 1-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 161.16Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1403Team 1403 Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 106.04Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 755 ±13.1

10991PioBytes

Season APEX 169Event APEX -14.53Rank 50Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4322Clockwork

Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 207.48Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 226.75Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 16, 2393, 1403

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.7 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 16, 2393, 1403

Auto

68.2 19%

Teleop

212.7 61%

Endgame

70.4 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10991, 4322, 2231

/ 100 compat

Projected

419.7 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 10991, 4322, 2231

Auto

122.3 29%

Teleop

256.4 61%

Endgame

41.2 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score379.7pts

Blue projected score419.7pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40
Score range: 306–494
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 826 vs event baseline 413.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

676.9Season APEX755

68.2Auto122.3

212.7Teleop256.4

70.4Endgame41.2

110Consistency158

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	132
teleop	168	251
endgame	132	74
foul	5	0
total	369	457

Result

Final score

369 – 457

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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