Qualification · Qualification 87

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

406.35 – 684.32

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

334 – 899

Prediction correct · off by 143.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 621.1 ±11.1

5653Iron Mosquitos

Season APEX 190.4Event APEX 147.4Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

51Wings of Fire

Season APEX 237Event APEX 151.96Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 106.99Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1015.4 ±11.9

1690Orbit

Season APEX 442.4Event APEX 255.62Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 259.9Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 168.8Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5653, 51, 6985

/ 100 compat

Projected

406.4 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 5653, 51, 6985

Auto

84.8 21%

Teleop

233.6 59%

Endgame

77.8 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1690, 9496, 2813

/ 100 compat

Projected

684.3 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1690, 9496, 2813

Auto

153.3 23%

Teleop

379.3 56%

Endgame

141.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score406.4pts

Blue projected score684.3pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -278
Score range: 332–758
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1233 vs event baseline 410.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

621.1Season APEX1015.4

84.8Auto153.3

233.6Teleop379.3

77.8Endgame141.6

155Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	203
teleop	153	446
endgame	107	230
foul	5	20
total	334	899

Result

Final score

334 – 899

Prediction correct · off by 143.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.