Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

193.2 – 559.7

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

177 – 630

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.4 ±12.9

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 72.33Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 52.35Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 68.52Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 747.2 ±10

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 333.58Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3931Cockadoodle Dominators

Season APEX 225.5Event APEX 116.26Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 109.86Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7840, 5577, 10034

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.2 pts

~0.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 7840, 5577, 10034

Auto

34.2 21%

Teleop

105.0 66%

Endgame

20.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1768, 3931, 4607

/ 100 compat

Projected

559.7 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1768, 3931, 4607

Auto

110.8 21%

Teleop

278.8 52%

Endgame

149.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.48 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score193.2pts

Blue projected score559.7pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -366.5
Score range: 118–635
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 807 vs event baseline 417.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.4Season APEX747.2

34.2Auto110.8

105Teleop278.8

20Endgame149.8

99Consistency133

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	86
teleop	102	406
endgame	37	138
foul	0	0
total	177	630

Result

Final score

177 – 630

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.