Qualification · Qualification 81

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

317.63 – 622.82

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

355 – 522

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 662.1 ±8.7

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 113.6Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8119TigerBotics

Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 185.91Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

614Night Hawks

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 18.12Rank 54Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 696.1 ±9.3

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 195.42Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 223.35Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9572CC Shambytes

Season APEX 232Event APEX 204.05Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8858, 8119, 614

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.6 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 8858, 8119, 614

Auto

43.2 14%

Teleop

193.0 62%

Endgame

77.0 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5913, 1023, 9572

/ 100 compat

Projected

622.8 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 5913, 1023, 9572

Auto

148.7 24%

Teleop

320.7 53%

Endgame

137.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score317.6pts

Blue projected score622.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -305.2
Score range: 243–698
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 877 vs event baseline 417.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

662.1Season APEX696.1

43.2Auto148.7

193Teleop320.7

77Endgame137.9

107Consistency168

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	105
teleop	190	295
endgame	108	117
foul	0	5
total	355	522

Result

Final score

355 – 522

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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