Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

576.51 – 461.93

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

513 – 421

Prediction correct · off by 52.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 717.8 ±9.8

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 183.59Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 162.99Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 229.93Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 679.2 ±11

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 133.27Rank 32Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2491NoMythic

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 230.7Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 97.96Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5895, 2393, 111

/ 100 compat

Projected

576.5 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 5895, 2393, 111

Auto

61.1 11%

Teleop

348.9 62%

Endgame

151.9 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3243, 2491, 3753

/ 100 compat

Projected

461.9 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 3243, 2491, 3753

Auto

60.9 13%

Teleop

239.0 52%

Endgame

157.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score576.5pts

Blue projected score461.9pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114.6
Score range: 387–652
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 934 vs event baseline 416.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

717.8Season APEX679.2

61.1Auto60.9

348.9Teleop239

151.9Endgame157

90Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	91
teleop	276	191
endgame	116	139
foul	5	0
total	513	421

Result

Final score

513 – 421

Prediction correct · off by 52.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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