Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
181.89 – 181.89
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
491 – 462
Prediction correct · off by 294.6 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 674.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 176.8Event APEX -Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 261.1Event APEX -Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 237Event APEX -Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 663.6 ±8.7
Season APEX 244.7Event APEX -Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 192.2Event APEX -Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 226.7Event APEX -Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5577, 1506, 51
50
/ 100 compatProjected
181.9 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 5577, 1506, 51
Auto
54.6 30%
Teleop
90.9 50%
Endgame
36.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1391, 5181, 1023
50
/ 100 compatProjected
181.9 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 1391, 5181, 1023
Auto
54.6 30%
Teleop
90.9 50%
Endgame
36.4 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score181.9pts
Blue projected score181.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 117–247
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
674.9Season APEX663.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 103 | 113 |
| teleop | 225 | 265 |
| endgame | 163 | 84 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 491 | 462 |
Result
Final score
491 – 462
Prediction correct · off by 294.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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