Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

461.58 – 439.92

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

623 – 460

Prediction correct · off by 90.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 796.2 ±9.3

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 48.49Rank 20Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 144.62Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 268.47Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 749.8 ±8.7

2590Nemesis

Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 148.02Rank 41Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 122.22Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 169.68Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11417, 1391, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

461.6 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 11417, 1391, 7769

Auto

114.7 25%

Teleop

267.5 58%

Endgame

77.5 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2590, 7915, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

439.9 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2590, 7915, 484

Auto

88.0 20%

Teleop

217.2 49%

Endgame

134.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score461.6pts

Blue projected score439.9pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.7
Score range: 366–536
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1083 vs event baseline 413.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

796.2Season APEX749.8

114.7Auto88

267.5Teleop217.2

77.5Endgame134.6

127Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	127	59
teleop	305	253
endgame	171	148
foul	20	0
total	623	460

Result

Final score

623 – 460

Prediction correct · off by 90.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.