Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

382.82 – 418.84

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

612 – 368

Prediction missed · off by 140 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 766.2 ±9.3

4655Stateline Robotics

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 82.2Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 136.18Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 164.44Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 681 ±10.5

4607C.I.S.

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 119.23Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4020Cyber Tribe

Season APEX 249Event APEX 180.48Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 119.13Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4655, 2582, 4469

/ 100 compat

Projected

382.8 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 4655, 2582, 4469

Auto

77.9 21%

Teleop

220.2 59%

Endgame

78.2 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4607, 4020, 8858

/ 100 compat

Projected

418.8 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 4607, 4020, 8858

Auto

100.7 25%

Teleop

197.4 49%

Endgame

102.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score382.8pts

Blue projected score418.8pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36
Score range: 308–494
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 980 vs event baseline 418.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

766.2Season APEX681

77.9Auto100.7

220.2Teleop197.4

78.2Endgame102.5

186Consistency142

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	101	70
teleop	350	170
endgame	161	118
foul	0	10
total	612	368

Result

Final score

612 – 368

Prediction missed · off by 140 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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