Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
182.88 – 182.88
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
167 – 537
Prediction missed · off by 185 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 454.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 116.6Event APEX -Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 198.6Event APEX -Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 139Event APEX -Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 776.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX -Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.7Event APEX -Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249Event APEX -Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5705, 3753, 3082
50
/ 100 compatProjected
182.9 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 5705, 3753, 3082
Auto
54.9 30%
Teleop
91.4 50%
Endgame
36.6 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5913, 484, 4020
50
/ 100 compatProjected
182.9 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 5913, 484, 4020
Auto
54.9 30%
Teleop
91.4 50%
Endgame
36.6 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score182.9pts
Blue projected score182.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 28%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 117–249
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
454.2Season APEX776.1
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 127 |
| teleop | 78 | 264 |
| endgame | 56 | 141 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 167 | 537 |
Result
Final score
167 – 537
Prediction missed · off by 185 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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