Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

501.5 – 294.76

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

448 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 64.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 707.1 ±10.5

3937Breakaway

Season APEX 263.8Event APEX 218.26Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 157.95Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 125.29Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642 ±11.2

16Bomb Squad

Season APEX 198.9Event APEX 104.39Rank 68Record 1-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

931Perpetual Chaos

Season APEX 286.1Event APEX 107.19Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 83.18Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3937, 1391, 3753

/ 100 compat

Projected

501.5 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3937, 1391, 3753

Auto

70.2 14%

Teleop

282.0 56%

Endgame

154.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 16, 931, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

294.8 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 16, 931, 1533

Auto

43.1 16%

Teleop

150.5 56%

Endgame

73.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score501.5pts

Blue projected score294.8pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 206.7
Score range: 219–578
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 668 vs event baseline 420.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

707.1Season APEX642

70.2Auto43.1

282Teleop150.5

154.5Endgame73.7

128Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	62
teleop	270	80
endgame	72	43
foul	0	35
total	448	220

Result

Final score

448 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 64.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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