Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

444.38 – 857.11

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

466 – 560

Prediction correct · off by 159.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 841.5 ±13.5

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 167.22Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

364Team Fusion 364

Season APEX 200.2Event APEX 19.57Rank 64Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 257.59Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 954.5 ±8.7

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 288.19Rank 13Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 314.29Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3501Firebots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 254.63Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2813, 364, 2231

/ 100 compat

Projected

444.4 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 2813, 364, 2231

Auto

119.8 27%

Teleop

262.0 58%

Endgame

67.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7415, 7769, 3501

/ 100 compat

Projected

857.1 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 7415, 7769, 3501

Auto

161.4 19%

Teleop

508.9 60%

Endgame

180.2 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.76 · Blue 3.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score444.4pts

Blue projected score857.1pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 41%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -412.7
Score range: 369–932
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1026 vs event baseline 417.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

841.5Season APEX954.5

119.8Auto161.4

262Teleop508.9

67.2Endgame180.2

135Consistency156

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	133	125
teleop	286	311
endgame	42	124
foul	5	0
total	466	560

Result

Final score

466 – 560

Prediction correct · off by 159.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.