Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

572.46 – 385.3

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

593 – 514

Prediction correct · off by 74.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 747.1 ±8.8

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 309.7Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5895Peddie Robotics

Season APEX 264.5Event APEX 195.84Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 66.92Rank 20Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 747.4 ±11.2

3544Spartiates

Season APEX 242Event APEX 58.49Rank 61Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7183W.A.R.

Season APEX 278.7Event APEX 116.66Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 210.15Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1768, 5895, 11417

/ 100 compat

Projected

572.5 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 1768, 5895, 11417

Auto

131.3 23%

Teleop

318.1 55%

Endgame

127.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3544, 7183, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

385.3 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 3544, 7183, 1023

Auto

85.8 22%

Teleop

206.1 54%

Endgame

91.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score572.5pts

Blue projected score385.3pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 187.2
Score range: 310–647
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1107 vs event baseline 416.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

747.1Season APEX747.4

131.3Auto85.8

318.1Teleop206.1

127.2Endgame91.8

86Consistency188

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	77
teleop	320	232
endgame	163	105
foul	30	100
total	593	514

Result

Final score

593 – 514

Prediction correct · off by 74.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.