Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

545.3 – 389.84

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

494 – 490

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 818.4 ±11.2

449The Blair Robot Project

A+

Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 205.92Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 214.3Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

931Perpetual Chaos

Season APEX 286.1Event APEX 125.08Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 623.7 ±9.8

2556RadioActive Roaches

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 157.36Rank 39Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 119.04Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 113.44Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 449, 5913, 931

/ 100 compat

Projected

545.3 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 449, 5913, 931

Auto

148.1 27%

Teleop

296.7 55%

Endgame

94.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2556, 4766, 2393

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.8 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2556, 4766, 2393

Auto

77.4 21%

Teleop

217.6 59%

Endgame

76.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.59 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score545.3pts

Blue projected score389.8pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 155.5
Score range: 315–620
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 984 vs event baseline 415.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

818.4Season APEX623.7

148.1Auto77.4

296.7Teleop217.6

94.2Endgame76.9

92Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	71
teleop	330	303
endgame	92	96
foul	0	20
total	494	490

Result

Final score

494 – 490

Prediction correct · off by 75.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.