Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

412.09 – 165.2

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

256 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 125.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 666.8 ±9.8

10991PioBytes

Season APEX 169Event APEX 42.78Rank 50Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 239.1Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 130.21Rank 32Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 516 ±10.4

3082Chicken Bot Pie

Season APEX 139Event APEX 14.1Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 100.62Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

364Team Fusion 364

Season APEX 200.2Event APEX 50.48Rank 64Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10991, 8159, 3243

/ 100 compat

Projected

412.1 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 10991, 8159, 3243

Auto

84.7 21%

Teleop

218.0 54%

Endgame

100.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3082, 5577, 364

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.2 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3082, 5577, 364

Auto

49.5 33%

Teleop

87.5 58%

Endgame

13.0 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score412.1pts

Blue projected score165.2pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 246.9
Score range: 89–488
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 422.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

666.8Season APEX516

84.7Auto49.5

218Teleop87.5

100.8Endgame13

92Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	11
teleop	134	44
endgame	35	1
foul	0	15
total	256	71

Result

Final score

256 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 125.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.