Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

296.82 – 194.17

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

448 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 134.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 669.5 ±10.7

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 149.88Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 185.42Rank 28Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11244Avrasya Robotics

Season APEX 167Event APEX -38.48Rank 57Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 634.4 ±8.7

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 61.47Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 81.92Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4450Olympia Robotics Federation

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 50.78Rank 51Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2813, 1023, 11244

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.8 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 2813, 1023, 11244

Auto

55.3 19%

Teleop

170.2 58%

Endgame

66.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1533, 7915, 4450

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.2 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 1533, 7915, 4450

Auto

60.8 33%

Teleop

46.3 25%

Endgame

77.2 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.19 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score296.8pts

Blue projected score194.2pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 102.7
Score range: 118–373
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 760 vs event baseline 422.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

669.5Season APEX634.4

55.3Auto60.8

170.2Teleop46.3

66.6Endgame77.2

157Consistency156

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	61
teleop	240	138
endgame	115	113
foul	0	0
total	448	312

Result

Final score

448 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 134.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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