Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
596 – 465.87
83%17%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
591 – 554
Prediction correct · off by 46.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 829.5 ±8.1
Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 184.92Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.7Event APEX 93.01Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 318.07Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 692.9 ±8.7
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 8.98Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 232Event APEX 176.39Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 280.5Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6528, 1403, 1768
84
/ 100 compatProjected
596 pts
~2.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 6528, 1403, 1768
Auto
82.4 14%
Teleop
335.6 56%
Endgame
182.9 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11214, 9572, 7769
74
/ 100 compatProjected
465.9 pts
~1.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 11214, 9572, 7769
Auto
101.3 21%
Teleop
274.1 58%
Endgame
96.4 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.61 · Blue 1.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score596pts
Blue projected score465.9pts
Red win probability83%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 21%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 130.1
- Score range
- 390–672
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
829.5Season APEX692.9
82.4Auto101.3
335.6Teleop274.1
182.9Endgame96.4
152Consistency167
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 151 | 144 |
| teleop | 316 | 223 |
| endgame | 124 | 187 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 591 | 554 |
Result
Final score
591 – 554
Prediction correct · off by 46.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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