Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

556.09 – 240.25

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

762 – 408

Prediction correct · off by 186.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 857.9 ±9.8

4020Cyber Tribe

Season APEX 249Event APEX 147.01Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1756Argos

Season APEX 223.5Event APEX 162.13Rank 42Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 246.95Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 595 ±9.9

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 113.04Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 19.53Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 107.68Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4020, 1756, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

556.1 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 4020, 1756, 7769

Auto

101.6 18%

Teleop

319.1 57%

Endgame

138.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6985, 1533, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.3 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 6985, 1533, 2054

Auto

65.7 26%

Teleop

129.9 51%

Endgame

57.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.74 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score556.1pts

Blue projected score240.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 315.8
Score range: 164–632
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1170 vs event baseline 420.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

857.9Season APEX595

101.6Auto65.7

319.1Teleop129.9

138.3Endgame57.9

128Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	132	85
teleop	435	207
endgame	195	96
foul	0	20
total	762	408

Result

Final score

762 – 408

Prediction correct · off by 186.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.