Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

572.67 – 450.35

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

421 – 703

Prediction missed · off by 202.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 675.5 ±9.8

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 137.36Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6911SO BOTZ

Season APEX 186.2Event APEX 142.29Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 293.02Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 739.4 ±9.8

10980The Deadbolts

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 132.44Rank 19Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 195.41Rank 13Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 122.5Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2582, 6911, 8159

/ 100 compat

Projected

572.7 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 2582, 6911, 8159

Auto

71.0 13%

Teleop

322.1 58%

Endgame

161.0 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10980, 7415, 5913

/ 100 compat

Projected

450.4 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 10980, 7415, 5913

Auto

122.5 29%

Teleop

260.6 61%

Endgame

44.5 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.39 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score572.7pts

Blue projected score450.4pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122.3
Score range: 376–647
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1124 vs event baseline 413.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

675.5Season APEX739.4

71Auto122.5

322.1Teleop260.6

161Endgame44.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	162
teleop	206	405
endgame	127	131
foul	20	5
total	421	703

Result

Final score

421 – 703

Prediction missed · off by 202.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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