Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

463.3 – 211.33

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

414 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 750.2 ±8.7

449The Blair Robot Project

A+

Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 209.08Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 107.74Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8858Beast from the East

Season APEX 226.8Event APEX 146.48Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 470 ±9.8

5577Kinematic Wolves

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 58.78Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX -9.17Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4087Voodoo Voltage

Season APEX 217.7Event APEX 161.72Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 449, 7915, 8858

/ 100 compat

Projected

463.3 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 449, 7915, 8858

Auto

46.2 10%

Teleop

279.5 61%

Endgame

130.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5577, 11214, 4087

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.3 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 5577, 11214, 4087

Auto

49.7 24%

Teleop

97.2 47%

Endgame

58.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.74 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score463.3pts

Blue projected score211.3pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 252
Score range: 136–538
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 541 vs event baseline 414.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

750.2Season APEX470

46.2Auto49.7

279.5Teleop97.2

130.6Endgame58.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	17
teleop	205	86
endgame	82	24
foul	50	0
total	414	127

Result

Final score

414 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 66.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.