Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

168.88 – 224.63

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

320 – 315

Prediction missed · off by 120.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 640.5 ±8.7

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 69.81Rank 46Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 83.79Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 15.28Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 567.6 ±11.6

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 140.73Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 46.05Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6487Clockwork Knights

Season APEX 187.2Event APEX 37.85Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6665, 4469, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.9 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 6665, 4469, 1533

Auto

14.4 8%

Teleop

83.0 48%

Endgame

75.3 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2393, 7840, 6487

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.6 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 2393, 7840, 6487

Auto

35.4 15%

Teleop

130.1 57%

Endgame

63.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score168.9pts

Blue projected score224.6pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.7
Score range: 93–301
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 635 vs event baseline 423.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

640.5Season APEX567.6

14.4Auto35.4

83Teleop130.1

75.3Endgame63.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	56
teleop	166	179
endgame	114	80
foul	0	0
total	320	315

Result

Final score

320 – 315

Prediction missed · off by 120.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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