Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

244.09 – 465.86

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

393 – 634

Prediction correct · off by 158.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 694.8 ±9.9

3753BulahBots!

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 48.04Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4450Olympia Robotics Federation

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 72.16Rank 51Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 123.89Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 730.3 ±9.5

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 206.3Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6985ENKA TECH

Season APEX 193.7Event APEX 81.39Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8119TigerBotics

Season APEX 239.4Event APEX 178.17Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3753, 4450, 6528

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.1 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 3753, 4450, 6528

Auto

73.7 30%

Teleop

129.4 52%

Endgame

45.5 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9496, 6985, 8119

/ 100 compat

Projected

465.9 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 9496, 6985, 8119

Auto

76.3 17%

Teleop

221.1 49%

Endgame

153.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score244.1pts

Blue projected score465.9pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -221.8
Score range: 170–540
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1027 vs event baseline 411.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

694.8Season APEX730.3

73.7Auto76.3

129.4Teleop221.1

45.5Endgame153.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	107
teleop	158	369
endgame	155	158
foul	15	0
total	393	634

Result

Final score

393 – 634

Prediction correct · off by 158.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.