Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

270.32 – 271.27

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 463

Prediction correct · off by 171 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 505.2 ±9.9

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 110.38Rank 74Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7840EMONER ROBOTICS

Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 88.29Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11242Golden Eagle Mechanics

Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 71.65Rank 45Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 720.5 ±11.9

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 116.57Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2590Nemesis

Season APEX 231.6Event APEX 79.59Rank 41Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 75.11Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1533, 7840, 11242

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.3 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 1533, 7840, 11242

Auto

57.3 22%

Teleop

146.5 56%

Endgame

59.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10034, 2590, 5913

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.3 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 10034, 2590, 5913

Auto

37.0 14%

Teleop

134.9 53%

Endgame

84.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score270.3pts

Blue projected score271.3pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.9
Score range: 192–349
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 583 vs event baseline 434.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

505.2Season APEX720.5

57.3Auto37

146.5Teleop134.9

59.4Endgame84.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	115
teleop	39	268
endgame	50	80
foul	0	0
total	120	463

Result

Final score

120 – 463

Prediction correct · off by 171 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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